This market predicts whether Ukraine will regain control of Crimea by October 22, 2025. Crimea was annexed by Russia in 2014, and its status remains a contentious issue. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has stated that Crimea can only be restored to Ukraine through diplomatic means. Source. Resolution will be based on official announcements from the Ukrainian government or recognized international bodies confirming Ukraine's control over Crimea.