Is manifold markets a superintelligence?
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290Ṁ457resolved Jan 28
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subjective resolution based on arguments in the comments.
one base +ve arg: manifold markets platform polly has more aggregate knowledge and better estimates than any human on it and thus can make better decisions and should be called superintelligence
one base -ve arg: it is not manifold markets platform only which has the aggregated estimates but everyone on manifold markets. Each user can look up the prediction markets and see the aggregate knowledge.
Close date updated to 2023-01-28 5:29 am
Close date updated to 2023-01-29 5:29 am
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