Is asking a truthful superintelligence for a PROB the best way to resolve ambiguous markets?
Basic
3
Ṁ1562198
72%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves prob whenever I can put the question to a truthful superintelligence.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
What will be true of Safe Superintelligence Inc.? [Add Answers]
Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?
40% chance
If AI wipes out humanity, will it resolve applicable markets correctly?
40% chance
If a friendly AI takes control of humanity, which of the propositions ought it find true?
Will Eliezer's "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" market resolve N/A?
29% chance
Will Manifold let AI autoresolve markets by 2028?
47% chance
If we survive artificial general intelligence, will Isaac King's success market resolve to "none of the above"?
59% chance
Will an AGI resolve this market by 2100?
34% chance
Will any of the (in)famous AI markets resolve in favour of AI hype?
81% chance
What organization will first create superintelligence?