Is asking a truthful superintelligence for a PROB the best way to resolve ambiguous markets?
4
70Ṁ1572198
71%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves prob whenever I can put the question to a truthful superintelligence.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
If we survive artificial general intelligence, will Isaac King's market resolve to "none of the above" or similar?
4% chance
If AI wipes out humanity, will it resolve applicable markets correctly?
40% chance
Will Eliezer's "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" market resolve N/A?
29% chance
If we survive artificial general intelligence, will Isaac King's success market resolve to "none of the above"?
59% chance
Will Manifold let AI autoresolve markets by 2028?
37% chance
Will an AGI resolve this market by 2100?
44% chance
Will Manifold introduce an AI-based feature that automatically resolves markets by 2030?
82% chance
AI reliably resolves markets by 2029?
69% chance
Will Artificial Super Intelligence lock in values humans generally come to disagree with?
51% chance
Before 2028, will any prediction market find a robust way to run a market on AI extinction risk? [M$50,000 reward]
16% chance