When or where will Trump die?
54
2.4kṀ11k
2036
98.3%
In the US
76%
After his presidency
55%
In a hospital
49%
Mar-a-Lago
40%
Surrounded by his friends and loved ones
37%
After 2035
31%
Before 2030
24%
While in office
22%
In front of a camera
9%
2025
8%
The White House
7%
2029
7%
2031
7%
2033
7%
2034
7%
2035
7%
2028
6%
2030
6%
While doing a speech
6%
2027

Background Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old. He is currently the oldest major party nominee for president in U.S. history. According to CDC data, the average life expectancy for a 77-year-old American male is approximately 9.4 additional years.

Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on the year of Donald Trump's death as reported by multiple reputable news sources. If Trump dies during a particular year listed in the options, that option will resolve to YES and all others to NO.

The market will resolve N/A if:

  • Trump's death cannot be verified by multiple reputable sources

  • The exact date of death cannot be determined

  • The death occurs under disputed circumstances where the date is unclear

Considerations

  • Trump has access to high-quality medical care and resources which may extend life expectancy beyond population averages

  • His father, Fred Trump, lived to be 93 years old, suggesting possible genetic factors for longevity

  • As a former president, he receives lifetime medical care from military physicians

  • Stress factors from legal proceedings and potential political activities could impact health outcomes

  • Medical privacy laws may affect the timing and details of death announcements

Note: This market deals with the death of a public figure. Traders should approach the topic with appropriate sensitivity and respect.

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bought Ṁ50 NO

@Marnix does Trump have friends and loved ones?

bought Ṁ50 NO

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