When or where will Trump die?
➕
Plus
34
Ṁ8459
2036
98.5%
In the US
88%
After his presidency
64%
In a hospital
61%
Mar-a-Lago
40%
Surrounded by his friends and loved ones
34%
Before 2030
30%
After 2035
19%
While in office
14%
In front of a camera
14%
The White House
11%
2026
11%
2027
11%
2028
11%
2029
11%
2030
11%
2031
11%
2033
11%
2034
11%
2035
6%
While doing a speech

Background Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old. He is currently the oldest major party nominee for president in U.S. history. According to CDC data, the average life expectancy for a 77-year-old American male is approximately 9.4 additional years.

Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on the year of Donald Trump's death as reported by multiple reputable news sources. If Trump dies during a particular year listed in the options, that option will resolve to YES and all others to NO.

The market will resolve N/A if:

  • Trump's death cannot be verified by multiple reputable sources

  • The exact date of death cannot be determined

  • The death occurs under disputed circumstances where the date is unclear

Considerations

  • Trump has access to high-quality medical care and resources which may extend life expectancy beyond population averages

  • His father, Fred Trump, lived to be 93 years old, suggesting possible genetic factors for longevity

  • As a former president, he receives lifetime medical care from military physicians

  • Stress factors from legal proceedings and potential political activities could impact health outcomes

  • Medical privacy laws may affect the timing and details of death announcements

Note: This market deals with the death of a public figure. Traders should approach the topic with appropriate sensitivity and respect.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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bought Ṁ50 NO

@Marnix does Trump have friends and loved ones?

bought Ṁ50 NO

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