Dies from assassination or external violence

Trump remains President and alive through January 20, 2029, and peacefully transfers power on that date as required by the Constitution.

Staying in office beyond January 20, 2029 for any reason will not count as completing a full term. 

Trump leaves office before January 20, 2029 by resignation, impeachment, 25th Amendment process, legal action, incapacity, voluntary hand-over, exile, coup, or any other non-fatal removal, and remains alive.

If Trump is still claiming presidential authority after Jan 20, 2029, thus not ‘completing’ his term, the market will resolve to this option.

Trump dies from disease, aging, or any internal medical cause while serving as President.

Trump dies as a result of assassination, attack, or any external act of violence while serving as President.

This market is for predictive purposes only and does not advocate or endorse any outcome.