What will happen to me in 2025? [Add Answers]
61
5kṀ20k
Dec 31
87%
Voting in upcoming Dutch election
72%
Either donating more to charity, or donating to a more cost effective charity, than last year
60%
Using LSD with someone who hasn't done it before
59%
Having sex in 5 different countries
57%
Losing my mana streak
55%
Getting a new house
53%
Finding money on the street
50%
Buying a racing bicycle and crashing with it
50%
Getting a new car
48%
Trying 3 new recreational drugs
43%
Losing or gaining weight (more than 5kg, now 72.8kg)
39%
Doing drugs with my mother
39%
Receiving a text message or call from someone who I haven't spoken in 3+ years
38%
Getting a new nickname at my future job
37%
Joining a sports team/club
36%
Joining a new or other political party
35%
Getting drinks with my first ex-girlfriend
34%
Quiting my new job
32%
Getting Covid-19
30%
Being mistaken for someone famous

Follow up from last years edition (https://manifold.markets/TheWabiSabi/what-will-happen-to-me-in-2024-add)

I will be 100% honest on all questions asked below to help you make the right bet.

  • Update 2025-03-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Criteria Clarification:

    • The outcome must involve having sex with a Tinder match.

    • The encounter occurs in a new city, indicating a partner that is not an ex.

  • Update 2025-03-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Cumulative Requirement:

    • The outcome must include having sex with three different people,

    • This must occur on three separate occasions throughout 2025.

  • Update 2025-04-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding the answer 'Deciding to get an abortion':

    • This outcome requires the creator's partner to be pregnant and the decision to get an abortion to be mutual between the creator and their partner.

  • Update 2025-05-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding newly added options:

    • To resolve YES, the event described by the option must occur:

    • In 2025.

    • After the specific option was added to the market.

  • Update 2025-05-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding outcomes involving 'reading a book':

    • Audiobooks do not count as 'reading'.

  • Update 2025-06-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding the answer 'Use a contraceptive (condom, pill, etc)':

    • A partner-based method of contraception, specifically an IUD, is a relevant event for this outcome's resolution.

  • Update 2025-07-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding the answer 'Use a contraceptive (condom, pill, etc)':

    • The creator has confirmed this answer will be resolved to YES.

    • The resolution is based on the creator's partner getting an IUD, confirming partner-based methods are sufficient.

  • Update 2025-08-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Viral social media post criteria:

    • Manifold counts as social media.

    • If on Manifold, it should be widely known/"really viral" within the Manifold community.

    • For other platforms, a threshold of 50k+ views indicates "viral."

  • Update 2025-09-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For the answer 'Losing another family member': A girlfriend's relative (e.g., her grandfather) does not count; this would only count if legally married (i.e., an in-law).

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@EliH yes, but it should be really know in the Manifold community, like really viral and for the rest maybe 50K+ views?

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ante 🔁 toki 🗣️:

ponaaaaaaa 😎

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sold Ṁ2 YES

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mi sona e ona, ken ni li numpa pi suli mute :)

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bought Ṁ20 YES

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