What will happen to me in 2025? [Add Answers]
56
4.9kṀ16k
Dec 31
50%
Having more than 10K streams on an AI song I created
50%
Either donating more to charity, or donating to a more cost effective charity, than last year
50%
Using LSD with someone who hasn't done it before
30%
Being mistaken for someone famous
39%
Crying at the cinema
26%
Getting a new nickname at my future job
50%
Breaking the screen of my smartphone
39%
Receiving a text message or call from someone who I haven't spoken in 3+ years
32%
Crashing in a 2nd bicycle accident
50%
Running an official running event
3%
Suing a contraceptive company because the contraceptive failed.
23%
Hospitalized (24H+)
28%
Starting a blog/substack/podcast
35%
Getting drinks with my first ex-girlfriend
6%
Deciding to get an abortion
23%
Getting shit on by a bird
53%
Finding money on the street
28%
Getting someone pregnant
57%
Trying 3 new recreational drugs
39%
Doing drugs with my mother

Follow up from last years edition (https://manifold.markets/TheWabiSabi/what-will-happen-to-me-in-2024-add)

I will be 100% honest on all questions asked below to help you make the right bet.

  • Update 2025-03-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Criteria Clarification:

    • The outcome must involve having sex with a Tinder match.

    • The encounter occurs in a new city, indicating a partner that is not an ex.

  • Update 2025-03-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Cumulative Requirement:

    • The outcome must include having sex with three different people,

    • This must occur on three separate occasions throughout 2025.

  • Update 2025-04-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding the answer 'Deciding to get an abortion':

    • This outcome requires the creator's partner to be pregnant and the decision to get an abortion to be mutual between the creator and their partner.

  • Update 2025-05-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding newly added options:

    • To resolve YES, the event described by the option must occur:

    • In 2025.

    • After the specific option was added to the market.

  • Update 2025-05-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding outcomes involving 'reading a book':

    • Audiobooks do not count as 'reading'.

  • Update 2025-06-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding the answer 'Use a contraceptive (condom, pill, etc)':

    • A partner-based method of contraception, specifically an IUD, is a relevant event for this outcome's resolution.

  • Update 2025-07-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding the answer 'Use a contraceptive (condom, pill, etc)':

    • The creator has confirmed this answer will be resolved to YES.

    • The resolution is based on the creator's partner getting an IUD, confirming partner-based methods are sufficient.

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