Will I get in a serious car accident by the end of 2025?
Standard
16
Ṁ8652026
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve as YES if I have to go to the hospital as a result of a car or bus accident that occurs before the end of 2025.
The accident can be caused by me or someone else, but it must not be staged or intentional for the purpose of manipulating this market.
Inspired by https://manifold.markets/CarsonGale/will-i-get-in-a-serious-car-acciden
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
One time I was hit by a car while biking. I think I'm much more likely to be wandering outside in unfamiliar environments than other people and am sometimes less situationally aware. I think I am much more actively worried about getting seriously injured/killed than other people, though, and often try to enumerate ways I could be injured.
Related questions
Related questions
Will I get in a serious car accident by end of 2025?
11% chance
Will I get into a car accident in 2024?
9% chance
Will I have a baby by the end of 2025?
16% chance
Will any Waymo driverless vehicle be involved in a serious accident in 2024?
44% chance
Will I see anyone other than myself wearing a helmet in a car before the end of 2025?
14% chance
Will there be a fatal airliner crash in the US before the end of 2024?
16% chance
Will I test positive for COVID by end of 2025?
54% chance
Will my car still be drivable EOY 2024?
35% chance
Will I drive a car in 2030?
66% chance
Will there be a fatal space accident before 2030?
52% chance