Will I get in a serious car accident by the end of 2025?
16
68
Ṁ866Ṁ310
2026
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve as YES if I have to go to the hospital as a result of a car or bus accident that occurs before the end of 2025.
The accident can be caused by me or someone else, but it must not be staged or intentional for the purpose of manipulating this market.
Inspired by https://manifold.markets/CarsonGale/will-i-get-in-a-serious-car-acciden
Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
One time I was hit by a car while biking. I think I'm much more likely to be wandering outside in unfamiliar environments than other people and am sometimes less situationally aware. I think I am much more actively worried about getting seriously injured/killed than other people, though, and often try to enumerate ways I could be injured.
Related questions
Related questions
Will any Waymo driverless vehicle be involved in a serious accident in 2024?
55% chance
Will there be a fatal space accident before 2030?
52% chance
Will I have easy access to a long-distance self-driving car by the end of 2028?
32% chance
Will I get into a car accident in 2024?
14% chance
Will I move by end of 2025?
60% chance
Will someone die in a motor vehicle accident while wearing an Apple Vision Pro in 2024?
23% chance
Will I drive a car in 2030?
69% chance
Will there be a fatal airliner crash in the US before the end of 2024?
14% chance
Will I be able to complete a 10+ hour trip via self-driving car by end of 2024?
15% chance
Will a major airliner accident happen in the US, physically injuring more than 25 people within 2024?
6% chance