Where will I be living at the end of 2025?
3
200Ṁ392026
35%
New York City
21%
San Francisco Bay Area
7%
Chicago
7%
Rest-of-USA (big city)
7%
Rest-of-USA (wherever)
8%
Canada
7%
Rest-of-world (Britain / Former British colonies outside North America)
7%
Semi-vibes-based question: resolves based on whether I consider myself to be living there (e.g., have I moved my desk and monitors there, or equivalent? Do I intend to?). No shenanigans.
I can / do work remotely and have a U.S. passport.
(Add new answers that seem interesting: “Berkeley” seems like part of SF -> N/A; “Boston” or “D.C.” might be sufficiently distinct from “Rest-of-USA (big city)”. So too could, “Anywhere in Texas”. But you may want to sell me on it too, if it’s not already listed.)
I may trade on this market to reflect the odds as I perceive them—but I will not change where I am living merely to spite the market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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