High percent answer = Manifold users would vote for this person instead of themselves
Low Percent answer = Manifold would vote for themselves instead of this person
Will be resolved by polls for each option, with the second choice as 'Yourself right now'
Inspired by @strutheo 's market
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ276 | |
| 2 | Ṁ4 | |
| 3 | Ṁ4 | |
| 4 | Ṁ4 | |
| 5 | Ṁ4 |
The results are in.
Manifold voted yes:
Scott Alexander
Nick Bostrom
Siddhartha Gautama / the Buddha
Jesus of Nazareth
Manifold was split 50-50:
Peter Singer
Me, @theallmemeingeye
George Washington
Manifold voted no:
Donald Trump
Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
J D Vance*
Elon Musk*
Oprah Winfrey*
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Holden Karnofsky
Aella
A generic Republican with 4+ years of political experience
A generic Democrat with 4+ years of political experience
A randomly selected US citizen
Yahweh / Jehovah / God the Father
*Added by other users in the poll but not in the original market.
As detailed in the description, all options in the trader number poll resolve n/a, but their trader numbers are used to resolve the original market.
For context, a broad summary of my current philosophical and political beliefs would be:
Epistemics i.e. fundamentally what is true?: empiricism, rationalism, scientific method
Normative ethics i.e. fundamentally what is good?: moral realism, consequentialism, pluralist balance between negative-leaning utilitarianism and egoism
Applied ethics i.e. in practice what should we do as individuals to achieve goodness?: effective altruism
Politics i.e. in practice what system should society use to achieve goodness?
Economic politics i.e. system of production and distribution of resources and services: at least Nordic-style welfarism, possibly experimenting via charter cities with anarcho-communism (worker-owned democratically-controlled industry, decentralised planned economy with UBI)
Governmental politics i.e. system of leadership and law enforcement: proportional representation democracy for parliament, iterated universal nomination election for technocratic council of advisors, anti-authoritarianism (Nordic-style reformative/restorative justice, anti-censorship/propaganda, radical transparency/accountability of government)
Cultural politics i.e. system of attitude towards societal changes like religion, moral circle expansion, globalisation, and technology: hyper-progressivism, secularism, universal compassion (feminism, anti-racism, LGBT+ rights, animal rights, AI rights, alien rights), hyper-internationalism (world government, mostly open borders with harmful ideology vetting), techno-cautious (especially regarding x/s-risk technologies like AGI/ASI, WMDs, nanotech, brain upload emulation etc.)
The results are in.
Manifold voted yes:
Scott Alexander
Nick Bostrom
Siddhartha Gautama / the Buddha
Jesus of Nazareth
Manifold was split 50-50:
Peter Singer
Me, @theallmemeingeye
George Washington
Manifold voted no:
Donald Trump
Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
J D Vance*
Elon Musk*
Oprah Winfrey*
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Holden Karnofsky
Aella
A generic Republican with 4+ years of political experience
A generic Democrat with 4+ years of political experience
A randomly selected US citizen
Yahweh / Jehovah / God the Father
*Added by other users in the poll but not in the original market.
As detailed in the description, all options in the trader number poll resolve n/a, but their trader numbers are used to resolve the original market.
In an eyebrow-raising manifesto posted to an obscure corner of Reddit, the self-proclaimed "High Prophet of the All-Memeing Eye" announced a bold new venture: starting a cult with Taylor Swift as co-leader. The proposition? Pure sexual energy as the ultimate currency of devotion.
"Through the holy union of memes and the magnetic force of Taylor Swift's *Eras Tour,* we will birth a new era of enlightenment," the statement read. "Every breakup song will be a sacred hymn. Every TikTok trend, a scripture. And the *1989* re-release? That’s our genesis story."
Members are promised eternal glory (and backstage passes) if they dedicate themselves fully to the cause. Rituals include choreographed dances to *Shake It Off* under the full moon and crafting memes sharp enough to go viral. The ultimate goal? To channel the collective thirst of Swifties into a spiritual awakening that will “shatter the matrix and overthrow the lizard overlords.”
The cult already has its first doctrine: *We Are Never Getting Back Together* is now the official anthem for rejecting exes and embracing the Eye’s divine light. Taylor has yet to respond, but insiders claim she’s flattered—so
rt of.
Tell you what, I won't report you to the mods for spam if you bet 1 mana on all of my markets
We got a deal?
For context, a broad summary of my current philosophical and political beliefs would be:
Epistemics i.e. fundamentally what is true?: empiricism, rationalism, scientific method
Normative ethics i.e. fundamentally what is good?: moral realism, consequentialism, pluralist balance between negative-leaning utilitarianism and egoism
Applied ethics i.e. in practice what should we do as individuals to achieve goodness?: effective altruism
Politics i.e. in practice what system should society use to achieve goodness?
Economic politics i.e. system of production and distribution of resources and services: at least Nordic-style welfarism, possibly experimenting via charter cities with anarcho-communism (worker-owned democratically-controlled industry, decentralised planned economy with UBI)
Governmental politics i.e. system of leadership and law enforcement: proportional representation democracy for parliament, iterated universal nomination election for technocratic council of advisors, anti-authoritarianism (Nordic-style reformative/restorative justice, anti-censorship/propaganda, radical transparency/accountability of government)
Cultural politics i.e. system of attitude towards societal changes like religion, moral circle expansion, globalisation, and technology: hyper-progressivism, secularism, universal compassion (feminism, anti-racism, LGBT+ rights, animal rights, AI rights, alien rights), hyper-internationalism (world government, mostly open borders with harmful ideology vetting), techno-cautious (especially regarding x/s-risk technologies like AGI/ASI, WMDs, nanotech, brain upload emulation etc.)
@TheAllMemeingEye "Ice Ice Epistemics"
Yo, stop, collaborate, and listen,
Empiricism’s back with a rational mission,
Truth grabs a hold of me tightly,
Scientific method, shining brightly.
What’s good? Moral realism flow,
Consequentialism’s the path I know.
Balancing ego, utilitarian vibe,
Negative lean, but I keep it alive.
Altruism’s effective, I’m giving it my all,
Goodness spreads like a fireball.
Charter cities? Experiment wild,
Nordic-style welfarism makes me smile.
Democracy proportional, laws reformative,
Transparency reigns, no lies, normative.
Restorative justice, anti-censorship groove,
Radical accountability keeps us smooth.
Cultural progress? Bring it, we dare,
Rights for all—from animals to AI out there.
Techno-cautious but I keep the beat global,
World government dream, borders semi-open, noble.
If there’s a problem, yo, we’ll solve it,
Check out my plan while the world evolves it.
Ice Ice Philosophy!
This version translates your ideas into a rhythm, retaining the essence of your beliefs while keeping it light and lyrical!
ChatGPT can make mistak
@Qoiuoiuoiu since I already added Jesus I'm assuming this is God the Father from the Old Testament?
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