
Which rocket will go orbital first
21
720Ṁ12kresolved Jan 8
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%99.7%
Vulcan
0.3%
Starship
For this market to be resolved, the rocket in question has to have its upper stage complete an entire orbit around Earth successfully.
The only criteria is if it completes an entire orbit.
Changes:
Extended resolution date out to EOY 2024
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ938 | |
2 | Ṁ59 | |
3 | Ṁ30 | |
4 | Ṁ27 | |
5 | Ṁ4 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Which rocket will launch from Earth with humans on board first?
Which of these rockets will reach orbit in 2025?
Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?
Which will be the first hybrid-propellant rocket to reach orbit?
When will Rocket Lab's Neutron first reach orbit?
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
Which of these will successfully land on the Moon in 2025?
Which organisation will be the second after SpaceX to propulsively land an orbital class booster?
What company will achieve the first successful air-launch to orbit rocket launch from the UK?
Which of these French rocket start-ups will achieve orbit before 2029?