Which organisation will be the second after SpaceX to propulsively land an orbital class booster?
10
440Ṁ896
2029
2%
Stoke Space
8%
Rocketlab
77%
Blue Origin
11%
CNSA
1.7%
Relativity Space

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What happens if it’s someone else entirely

@YaakovSaxon Is it “first among this group” or does it just resolve NA

@Isaac228c A year late but would also like clarification on this point

Also, the CNSA doesn't develop or operate any vehicles, is it supposed to be CASC? Or just all Chinese launch vehicles?

@Nat and more to the point, CASIC

@Nat bad info. I meant Landspace, the maker of Zhuque-3

@Isaac228c Pinging again, would love clarification

(Assuming a lack of response, do traders want to try to decide on a reasonable interpretation?)

@traders I'd suggest we decide on how to interpret the market given lack of response from creator

My suggestion would be to resolve to 'first among the group'; having the possibility of an N/A resolution wouldn't add anything to the market other than to reduce the expected profitability of betting in the market

Re the CNSA answer, very open to suggestions on how people interpreted it but my best guess would be to treat it as representing all Chinese govt launch vehicles (i.e. CASC etc but not LandSpace)?

(Also note, I'm not actually a trader in this market yet so I don't mind in the slightest if different interpretations are decided on)

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