Who would win the US Presidential Election, if they were the Democratic Party nominee in 2028?
Who would win the US Presidential Election, if they were the Democratic Party nominee in 2028?
9
300Ṁ2752028
64%
JB Pritzker
62%
Josh Shapiro
61%
Pete Buttigieg
59%
Raphael Warnock
53%
Gretchen Whitmer
50%
Andy Beshear
50%
John Fetterman
50%
Andrew Cuomo
50%
Stephen A. Smith
47%
Gavin Newsom
44%
Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez
42%
Kamala Harris
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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