Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
What % of the vote will Count Binface get in Clacton in 2016?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ157
2027
5.2 %
expected
60%
Above 5%
36%
Above 10%
15%
Above 20%
4%
Above 50%

Market context
Elections
UK Politics
UK
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Which party will win the Clacton by-election?
Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?
+14% 1d24% chance
Which party will win the Clacton by-election?
Which party will come second-place in the 2026 Clacton by-election?
What will the top two parties be in the 2026 Clacton by-election?
If Boris Johnson stands in the Clacton by-election, will he win?
-25% 1d25% chance
Which parties will field a candidate in the Clacton by-election?
If the Clacton by-election is held, will Count Binface get at least 10 percent of the vote?
-13% 1d37% chance
If Nigel Farage wins the Clacton by-election, will he be recalled anyway?
-7% 1d43% chance
If Farage loses the 2026 Clacton by-election, will the PM after the next general election be Reform?
+4% 1d29% chance