Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will Count Binface (Jonathan David Harvey) become an MP by 2030?
10
แน€100แน€315
2029
20%
chance

Market context
Politics
Elections
UK Politics
UK
Get
แน€1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought แน€2 YES

Dear Clacton voters, this is a no-brainer.

People are also trading

Will Count Binface get between 25.00 and 40.00% of the vote in the clacton by election
+12% 1d52% chance
Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?
5% chance
Will Count binface get under or over 25% of the vote in the Clacton by election?
What percentage of the vote will Count Binface win in the Clacton by-election?
If the Clacton by-election is held, will Count Binface get at least 10 percent of the vote?
+3% 1d88% chance
Will Count Binface earn back his deposit (get >=5% of the vote) in the Clacton by-election?
95% chance
Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?
6% chance
What % of the vote will Count Binface get in Clacton in 2026?
12.8
Will Count Binface (Jonathan David Harvey) win the 2026 Clacton by-election?
9% chance
Will anyone other than Farage and Binface get their deposit back in the 2026 Clacton by-election?
24% chance