Will Adam Gray win the CA-13 House seat in the 2022 election?
13
17
200
resolved Dec 3
Resolved
NO

Close date updated to 2022-11-03 12:00 am

Oct 2, 2:26pm: If Adam Gray is a candidate for the CA-13 House district in 2022, and the other candidate is a Republican, will he win the House seat? → Will Adam Gray win the CA-13 House seat?

Oct 2, 2:27pm: Will Adam Gray win the CA-13 House seat? → Will Adam Gray win the CA-13 House seat in the 2022 election?

Close date updated to 2022-11-08 12:00 am

Close date updated to 2022-11-09 6:00 pm

Close date updated to 2022-11-10 12:00 am

Close date updated to 2022-11-11 12:00 am

Close date updated to 2022-11-15 12:00 am

Close date updated to 2022-11-23 12:00 am

Close date updated to 2022-11-28 12:00 am

Nov 21, 6:18pm: Will Adam Gray win the CA-13 House seat in the 2022 election? → Will Adam Gray (D) win the CA-13 House seat in the 2022 election?

Nov 21, 6:18pm: Will Adam Gray (D) win the CA-13 House seat in the 2022 election? → Will Adam Gray win the CA-13 House seat in the 2022 election?

Close date updated to 2022-11-23 10:15 am

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@Tetraspace when will this market be resolving?

bought Ṁ90 of NO
bought Ṁ1,000 of NO

@SemioticRivalry Was just about to post - Dave has seen enough.

predicted NO

@Conflux (And he has a very strong track record of such calls)

predicted NO

96% reporting, still not called

predicted NO

Status report: Currently 95% reporting, 50.3% to John Duarte and 49.7% to Adam Grey, not yet called by the AP.