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MANIFOLD
Will there be another major train accident in Spain before 2028?
2
Ṁ1kṀ143
2027
48%
chance

For purposes of this market (and according to EU directives), a train accident counts as major if it meets any of the following criteria:
- At least 1 person is killed.
- 5 or more people suffer injuries requiring hospitalization.
- Damages due to the accident are estimated at €2 million or more.

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