A new religion will gain traction in the wake of AI by December 2025
27
Ṁ1kṀ3kresolved Jan 11
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a religion that does not currently exist on March 21, 2023 has at least 0.1% of the US population self-identify as believers in December 31, 2025. Resolves NO under any other circumstance.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ134 | |
| 2 | Ṁ79 | |
| 3 | Ṁ62 | |
| 4 | Ṁ42 | |
| 5 | Ṁ26 |
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will more than 100 million people self-describe as believing in some "AI Religion" by 2035?
40% chance
The first religion centred around the prophetic writings and responses of AI or an AI will be founded before Oct 2026
81% chance
Will a religion that has some AI as its god, oracle or priest have at least 1 million churchgoers before 2051?
71% chance
AI/AGI worshipped by more than 5% of humanity by 2040?
15% chance
Will a new popular religious movement emerge before 2030 that rejects smartphone usage as one of its primary tenets?
7% chance
At least one major religious organization will run simulations with conscious entities by 2080
62% chance
If hindrance to AI development enacted, will Anti-Christ become manifest within 5 years?
31% chance
AI Cult exists by 2027
82% chance
Catholic church recognizes AI souls by 2040?
20% chance
Which religion will have the most human followers by 2100?