How many Conservative MPs will have defected to Reform UK by one week after the new Conservative leader is chosen?
30
1.1kṀ13k
resolved Nov 10
Resolved
YES
0
Resolved
NO
1+
Resolved
NO
2+
Resolved
NO
4+
Resolved
NO
3+
Resolved
NO
10+
Resolved
NO
9+
Resolved
NO
8+
Resolved
NO
7+
Resolved
NO
6+
Resolved
NO
5+

As reported by BBC. Responses not exclusive, e.g. if 2 defect then 1+ and 2+ will resolve yes. Includes all MPs that defect from the time the market was created, not only those that do so in the week after the new Conservative leader is chosen.

Market context
UK
UK politics
UK Conservative Party
UK General Election 2024
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ643
2Ṁ384
3Ṁ82
4Ṁ57
5Ṁ49
Sort by:
bought Ṁ0 NO

@TallUntidyGothGF resolves 0?

.

People are also trading

Which UK political figures will defect to Reform UK before the next election?
Who will be the next Conservative Party Leader?
Reform UK announce a current labour mp is joining them before the end of month?
10% chance
How many Reform councillors will have left the Party by the May 2026 elections.
Who will be the leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election?
How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?
7.3
If this person is leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election, will the PM be Reform?
Who will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)?
How many seats will Reform UK win at the next general election?
202
What Conservative/Reform UK cross-pollination will occur by the next UK general election?
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy