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MANIFOLD
How many Conservative MPs will have defected to Reform UK by one week after the new Conservative leader is chosen?
30
Ṁ1.1kṀ13k
resolved Nov 10
Resolved
YES
0
Resolved
NO
1+
Resolved
NO
2+
Resolved
NO
4+
Resolved
NO
3+
Resolved
NO
10+
Resolved
NO
9+
Resolved
NO
8+
Resolved
NO
7+
Resolved
NO
6+
Resolved
NO
5+

As reported by BBC. Responses not exclusive, e.g. if 2 defect then 1+ and 2+ will resolve yes. Includes all MPs that defect from the time the market was created, not only those that do so in the week after the new Conservative leader is chosen.

Market context
UK Politics
UK
UK Conservative Party
UK General Election 2024
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@TallUntidyGothGF resolves 0?

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