
How many Conservative MPs will have defected to Reform UK by one week after the new Conservative leader is chosen?
30
1.1kṀ13kresolved Nov 10
Resolved
YES0
Resolved
NO1+
Resolved
NO2+
Resolved
NO4+
Resolved
NO3+
Resolved
NO10+
Resolved
NO9+
Resolved
NO8+
Resolved
NO7+
Resolved
NO6+
Resolved
NO5+
As reported by BBC. Responses not exclusive, e.g. if 2 defect then 1+ and 2+ will resolve yes. Includes all MPs that defect from the time the market was created, not only those that do so in the week after the new Conservative leader is chosen.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ643 | |
2 | Ṁ384 | |
3 | Ṁ82 | |
4 | Ṁ57 | |
5 | Ṁ49 |
People are also trading
Related questions
How many Reform councillors will have left the Party by the May 2026 elections.
Who will be the leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election?
How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?
6.9
If this person is leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election, will the PM be Reform?
Who will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)?
How many seats will Reform UK win at the next general election?
143
What Conservative/Reform UK cross-pollination will occur by the next UK general election?
Will 6 or more Tory MPs resign from their seats before 2026?
30% chance
Will Reform be the official opposition after the next UK election?
18% chance
Will Reform win less than 50 seats at the next UK General election?
24% chance