If Joe Biden wins in 2024, will a War between China and the USA have occured by the end of his 2025 term?
21
1kṀ1293resolved Aug 21
Resolved
N/A1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
War as defined by the Uppsala Conflict Data Program is "A state-based conflict or dyad which reaches at least 1000 battle-related deaths in a specific calendar year"
This will resolve YES for any war in which China and the USA are directly and kinetically involved on opposing sides.
"Wins in 2024" refers to the 2024 presidential election. If Biden loses, this market will be refunded.
Sister market:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
If Donald Trump wins in 2024, will a War between China and the USA have occured by the end of his 2025 term?
11% chance
Will there be a US-China war if Trump gets elected in 2024?
23% chance
Will the US and China be at war with each other before the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will there be a military conflict between China and the United States by the end of 2025?
11% chance
Will there be a war between the United States and China before 2040?
45% chance
Will there be a war between the United States and China before 2035?
39% chance
If Trump wins, will China attack Taiwan before the end of 2026?
18% chance
Will the US defeat China in war before 2028?
6% chance
Will there be an armed conflict between China and the US before the end of 2030?
24% chance
Will China launch a war on the US by 2028?
17% chance