2028 US election: peaceful transfer of power to a non-authoritarian leader?
9
1kṀ1090
2029
77%
chance

This market assesses the likelihood of a peaceful transition of power to a leader not characterized by authoritarian tendencies following the 2028 U.S. presidential election. A "Yes" resolution would require that the election proceeds without significant unrest, the incoming president is broadly recognized as non-authoritarian, and the outcome is accepted by both the public and relevant institutions. Resolution will rely on reputable news sources and official reports.

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