Will same-sex marriage be newly legalized in any country in Oceania before 2030?
Plus
16
Ṁ5522030
60%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Including any transcontinental countries.
"Newly": Doesn't count any country that has already legalized it now or has set a future date for when it will be legal (like Estonia has). But any country that formalizes legalization at a future date, even if that date is after 2029, does count so long as the decision was locked in before 2030.
Must qualify in such a way that the country would change to dark blue on this Wikipedia map, though changes to that map are not required for this question to resolve YES.
Part of a series:
/Stralor/will-samesex-marriage-be-newly-lega
/Stralor/will-samesex-marriage-be-newly-lega-858e77296c28
/Stralor/will-samesex-marriage-be-newly-lega-5b38955218aa
/Stralor/will-samesex-marriage-be-newly-lega-6c591293c38d
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will same-sex marriage be newly legalized in any country in Africa before 2030?
60% chance
Will same-sex marriage be banned in any country that has currently legalized it, before 2030?
32% chance
Will same-sex marriage be newly legalized for at least non-Muslims in any Muslim-majority country before 2030?
60% chance
Which countries will legalize homosexual behavior by 2030( can Add countries)
Will any country that has once institutionalized same-sex marriage ban it again before 2030?
42% chance
what countries will legalize gay marriage by 2030
Will any country in Africa other than South Africa fully legalize gay marriage by the end of 2030?
52% chance
Will Singapore recognise gay marriage by 2030?
30% chance
Will polygamous marriage be legal in any US state by 2035?
27% chance
Will same-sex marriage become legal in Vietnam before 2030?
74% chance