Will same-sex marriage be newly legalized in any country in Oceania before 2030?
15
55
1k
2030
60%
chance

Including any transcontinental countries.

"Newly": Doesn't count any country that has already legalized it now or has set a future date for when it will be legal (like Estonia has). But any country that formalizes legalization at a future date, even if that date is after 2029, does count so long as the decision was locked in before 2030.

Must qualify in such a way that the country would change to dark blue on this Wikipedia map, though changes to that map are not required for this question to resolve YES.


Part of a series:

/Stralor/will-samesex-marriage-be-newly-lega

/Stralor/will-samesex-marriage-be-newly-lega-858e77296c28

/Stralor/will-samesex-marriage-be-newly-lega-5b38955218aa

/Stralor/will-samesex-marriage-be-newly-lega-6c591293c38d

/Stralor/will-samesex-marriage-be-newly-lega-2afa9c621a1a

/Stralor/will-samesex-marriage-be-banned-in

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