I started in the Platinum League, will I reach Diamond at any point this year?
I started in the Platinum League, will I reach Diamond at any point this year?
8
220Ṁ1290
resolved Jul 1
Resolved
YES

As of the start of this market I am in 12th position, aka dead center.

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predictedYES 1y

oof hit (relatively) hard by the 100 million mana market. it's a tighter race this season!

1y

this is pretty certain to happen this season bc I caught a windfall in Will i create an alpha version of my game before summer solstice?NO , which is now realized profits. and that's even considering some expected losses like in When this market closes, will I still have a limit order on it?NO . but who knows what the stoppage time will churn up this season and I might over-leverage my newfound cash

predictedYES 1y

wtf am I doing in 1st against people with 5-10x the portfolio size??

obviously this brief vision of the summit is too early to call, but it's a promising season!

predictedYES

@Stralor I have made M3K so far with about the same portfolio size as you, I guess we're just good at Manifolding :)

predictedYES 1y

@ShadowyZephyr fuck yeah, go us! 🤩

predictedNO 1y

Update! I'm still in platinum after season 1, so I'm neither closer nor further from this happening, other than that there's less time.

1y

Current status:

People are also trading

Tits or Ass ?
New Manifold features launched before June 2025
Wen Stake Monthly Bonus (May 2025)?
Will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan?
87% chance
I will resolve this market NO at the end of June unless I am persuaded to resolve it YES.
20% chance
How much will I walk in April+May?
How much revenue will Homepage Boosts drive in month 2?
Will I run a sub-20 5k before May 10, 2025?
1% chance
Will Manifold have a numerical market type by June 1, 2025?
-4% 1d10% chance
Six months after Jimmy Carter dies, who will be the primary death market of choice for Manifold users to create/bet on?
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