
I started in the Platinum League, will I fall to Gold at any point this year?
15
closes Jan 1
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
á¹€0
á¹€50
á¹€100
Payout if YES
á¹€43 +336.7%
New probability
24% +1.8%
Get á¹€500 play money
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Pat Scott🩴predicts YES
Entering my third season in diamond sigh but at least it means I'm not getting worse!

Pat Scott🩴sold Ṁ28 of YES
This is looking less and less likely, considering I'm giving a good run for diamond this season. Who knows, though, I could slip a division or two as the year progresses, and this is likely to qualify for a YES resolution if I ever cease using Manifold.

Pat Scott🩴predicts YES
Update! I'm still in platinum after season 1, so I'm neither closer nor further from this happening, other than that there's less time.

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