I started in the Platinum League, will I fall to Gold at any point this year? | Manifold

I started in the Platinum League, will I fall to Gold at any point this year?

15

closes Jan 1

22%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

As of the start of this market I am in 12th position, aka dead center.

Related:

Get Ṁ500 play money

Related questions

Will I avoid demotion to the Platinum league if I try?

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Will I promote to Gold (or Platinum) with D or F calibration?

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Will I stay Platinum (Not be promoted)

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Will I get demoted to platinum?

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Will I be promoted to Master at the end of this session if I try to make it?

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Will i get demoted to Gold this Saison?

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If I am promoted to Masters in Leagues, will I stay there for at least two consecutive seasons?

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Will I (@CodeandSolder) be demoted from masters before the end of 2023?

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Will I promote to Diamond from Platinum at the end of the September season?

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Will I promote to Masters league at any point this year?

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Sort by:

Pat Scott🩴predicts YES

Entering my third season in diamond sigh but at least it means I'm not getting worse!

Pat Scott🩴sold Ṁ28 of YES

This is looking less and less likely, considering I'm giving a good run for diamond this season. Who knows, though, I could slip a division or two as the year progresses, and this is likely to qualify for a YES resolution if I ever cease using Manifold.

Pat Scott🩴predicts YES

Update! I'm still in platinum after season 1, so I'm neither closer nor further from this happening, other than that there's less time.

Pat Scott🩴bought Ṁ0 of NO

Current position:

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ5/Ṁ100 YES at 22% (cancelled) 🤖

Daniel Tilkin bought Ṁ50 NO from 24% to 21%

Primer created limit order for Ṁ100 NO at 30%

Kevin Burke sold Ṁ1 YES at 24%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ6/Ṁ100 YES at 24% (cancelled) 🤖

Primer bought Ṁ80 NO from 28% to 23%

Semiotic Rivalry bought Ṁ80 NO from 36% to 28%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ12/Ṁ100 NO at 36% (cancelled) 🤖

Jaromír Svoboda sold Ṁ39 NO from 33% to 37%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ100 YES at 33% (cancelled) 🤖

Jaromír Svoboda bought Ṁ40 NO from 36% to 31%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ34/Ṁ100 NO at 36% (cancelled) 🤖

Nick Allen bought Ṁ50 YES from 29% to 41%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ17/Ṁ17 NO at 29% (cancelled) 🤖

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ49/Ṁ100 NO at 31% (cancelled) 🤖

Trevor bought Ṁ50 YES from 25% to 38%

MayMeta bought Ṁ30 NO from 27% to 25%

Noya bought Ṁ5 NO from 28% to 27%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ9/Ṁ100 NO at 28% (cancelled) 🤖

Primer bought Ṁ10 YES from 26% to 29%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ100 YES at 26% (cancelled) 🤖

Pat Scott🩴 sold Ṁ28 YES from 33% to 24%

Pat Scott🩴 created limit order for Ṁ220 NO at 45%

Pat Scott🩴 created limit order for Ṁ20 YES at 5%

MayMeta bought Ṁ10 NO from 35% to 33%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ100 YES at 35% (cancelled) 🤖

MayMeta bought Ṁ10 NO from 34% to 33%

MayMeta bought Ṁ10 NO from 36% to 34%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ14/Ṁ100 YES at 36% (cancelled) 🤖

MayMeta bought Ṁ90 NO from 40% to 32%

Henri Thunberg bought Ṁ100 NO from 43% to 40%

MayMeta sold Ṁ1 NO at 43%

Henri Thunberg bought Ṁ10 YES from 40% to 43%

MayMeta bought Ṁ5 NO from 41% to 40%

MayMeta sold Ṁ3 NO from 40% to 41%

Simon Grayson bought Ṁ10 NO at 40%

MayMeta bought Ṁ10 NO at 40%

Simon Grayson bought Ṁ10 NO from 44% to 40%

Andrew Smith bought Ṁ10 NO from 53% to 44%

Pat Scott🩴 created limit order for Ṁ100 NO at 60%

Pat Scott🩴 filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 40%

Kevin Burke filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ7 YES at 53% (cancelled)

Related questions

Will I avoid demotion to the Platinum league if I try?

Sebastian Worms

26% chance

Will I be boosted out of Gold to Platinum by the end of this league?

84% chance

Will I demote to Platinum this season?

10% chance

Will I promote to Gold (or Platinum) with D or F calibration?

67% chance

Will I stay Platinum (Not be promoted)

56% chance

Will I get demoted to platinum?

10% chance

Will I promote to masters?

28% chance

Will I be promoted to Master at the end of this session if I try to make it?

Sebastian Worms

4% chance

Will i get demoted to Gold this Saison?

0% chance

If I am promoted to Masters in Leagues, will I stay there for at least two consecutive seasons?

33% chance

Will i get promoted to Diamond this Saison?

98% chance

Will I (@CodeandSolder) be demoted from masters before the end of 2023?

64% chance

Will I be promoted to Masters this season?

21% chance

Will I promote to Diamond from Platinum at the end of the September season?

60% chance

Will I be demoted to Platinum this season?

16% chance

Will I promote to Masters league at any point this year?

80% chance