How many of the first Manifold Masters will remain so through the end of 2023?
25
1.2kṀ29k
resolved Dec 2
100%98.4%
4-6
0.0%
0
0.0%
1
1.5%
2-3
0.0%
7-10

Of the first set of twenty, ten will fall in their first season. Will any of them hold out all year without fail? How many?

Only counts those who are currently Masters (at question creation in July) and who never demote to Diamond or lower at any point this year.

This question assumes there will be no higher leagues than Masters. So, for this question's purposes, if they enter higher leagues they're still counted as Masters so long as they never demote lower than Masters. But if a prestige-like system (give up all progress for a shiny badge) or something equivalent appears where they must forfeit rank, it counts as no longer being a Master.

I'll try to keep this updated as they demote, but please give me a hand by letting me know if you notice any, too. The list (4/10):

Marcus Abramovitch

NamesAreHard

Semiotic Rivalry

UFTG

PC (eliminated season 6)

firstuserhere (eliminated season 5)

Genzy (eliminated season 5)

chilli (eliminated season 4)

Jack (eliminated season 4)

optimusprime (eliminated season 4)

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should resolve to 4-6

wait does this count december leagues

it probably does because of the close date, but the title isn't obvious

@jacksonpolack i interpret two comments below as saying no

@jacksonpolack yeah mb I should have explained more clearly in the description. there won't be another opportunity for masters to demote this year (barring admin punishment) so this will resolve tonight

@Stralor err right now bc of lock in

PC demoted but UFTG did not, though was close. All others remain.

@firstuserhere 🙏 thank you!!

hmm I've realized the close date doesn't need to be Dec 31st, as any changes to leagues in the last month will happen after the new year begins, so I'm adjusting the end date

@Stralor So relegations in the december season won't matter for the market?

@NamesAreHard correct, unless somehow they happen before the year ends due to a change in leagues.

2 were eliminated in season 5!

@Stralor accidental factorial xD

@firstuserhere as it was foretold

3 were eliminated in season 4!

@Stralor accidental factorial :p

the Chosen Ten have been locked in! Now we shall seeeee

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