NFL Week 12 - Prop Bets

Plus

Ṁ2916

Jan 4

85%

Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game

81%

A Pick Six

80%

AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back

80%

Fake Punt Attempt

80%

Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game

67%

Largest FG made is from 58+ yards out

67%

Any 400 yard passer (https://tinyurl.com/400Yarder)

67%

Any team scores 24+ points before halftime

66%

80+ Yard Score

66%

A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)

61%

A 4th and 10+ is converted

55%

Team change in top 6 super bowl favorites by 11/27 (Lions, Chiefs, Bills, Eagles, Ravens, Steelers)

50%

A Starting QB gets put on IR the week after the game

50%

For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?

50%

Will a championship belt change teams (https://shorturl.at/2bXlq) (https://shorturl.at/XwDBj)

50%

MVP Odds Favorite Changes By 11/27 (Currently: Josh Allen)

50%

2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week

50%

At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards

50%

Any of 6 Super Bowl Favorites Change by 11/27 (Currently: TBD 11/20)

50%

Any team scores 40+ points

2024-25 NFL Season - Week Twelve

*** Asterisk Prop Clarifications

At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
- Favorite based on DraftKings closing line
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
- Based on closing DraftKings lines
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
- If consensus the next week is that the player will be out for the season
- Will lean towards "YES" (i.e. if the vibe is the player is 75/25 I will resolve YES)
- Based on my subjective opinion (but feel free to give input)
Fake Punt Attempt
- If a team lines up in punt formation and then snaps the ball with the intention to gain the first down instead of punting
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
- The quarterback that started the game is removed due to neither an injury, nor due to a blowout
- Subjective judgement will be used, but generally these fulfilling these three criteria will be required for 99% of cases
  - No Injury
  - If it is the 4th quarter then the game has to be within 16 points (2 possessions)
  - Its not clear that the QB removed from the game will start the next game
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
- Resolves NO if there are no Double Digit Underdogs
Fat Guy Touchdown
- A player that would be considered fat scores a TD
- All O-linemen, and DTs scoring would count (regardless of how)
  - Reserve the right for other positions if they are fat enough (if you want, ask me a player beforehand)
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)
- Resolves at 50% for ties, weighted (so if there are two games tied for the top already, and this week adds another, it would resolve at 33%)

Add your own props related to Week Twelve (if it is super specific be prepared to help me find an answer). Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after Week Twelve finishes, but not later than that.