NFL Week 15 - Prop Bets
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Plus
32
Ṁ52k
resolved Dec 18
Resolved
YES
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Resolved
YES
Safety Scored
Resolved
YES
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
Resolved
YES
Fake Punt Attempt
Resolved
YES
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
Resolved
YES
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Resolved
YES
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
Resolved
YES
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Resolved
YES
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
Resolved
YES
Josh Allen MVP Odds Improve By 12/18 (Currently: -400)
Resolved
YES
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
Resolved
YES
Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses
Resolved
YES
A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)
Resolved
YES
A player gets an Octopus
Resolved
YES
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)* https://tinyurl.com/highestgame
Resolved
YES
Any team scores 40+ points
Resolved
YES
Scorigami
Resolved
YES
Pick Six
Resolved
YES
Fat Guy Touchdown*
Resolved
YES
35% or higher Kick Return rate

2024-25 NFL Season - Week Fifteen

*** Asterisk Prop Clarifications

  • At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

    • Favorite based on DraftKings closing line

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Based on closing DraftKings lines

  • A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

    • If consensus the next week is that the player will be out for the season

    • Will lean towards "YES" (i.e. if the vibe is the player is 75/25 I will resolve YES)

    • Based on my subjective opinion (but feel free to give input)

  • Fake Punt Attempt

    • If a team lines up in punt formation and then snaps the ball with the intention to gain the first down instead of punting

  • Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

    • The quarterback that started the game is removed due to neither an injury, nor due to a blowout

    • Subjective judgement will be used, but generally these fulfilling these three criteria will be required for 99% of cases

      • No Injury

      • If it is the 4th quarter then the game has to be within 16 points (2 possessions)

      • Its not clear that the QB removed from the game will start the next game

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Resolves NO if there are no Double Digit Underdogs

  • Fat Guy Touchdown

    • A player that would be considered fat scores a TD

    • All O-linemen, and DTs scoring would count (regardless of how)

      • Reserve the right for other positions if they are fat enough (if you want, ask me a player beforehand)

  • Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)

    • Resolves at 50% for ties, weighted (so if there are two games tied for the top already, and this week adds another, it would resolve at 33%)

  • A 4th and 11+ is converted

    • First downs as the result of penalties do not count

    • This logic applies similar to any other prop like this

      • "(no plays)" in the box score do not count as a play

  • In general, lines that use betting lines or props will rely on the DraftKings odds

Add your own props related to Week Twelve (if it is super specific be prepared to help me find an answer). Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after Week Twelve finishes, but not later than that.

Game Slate:

Add your own props related to Week Fifteen (if it is super specific be prepared to help me find an answer). Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after Week Fifteen finishes, but not later than that.

Other Week 14 Props:

Other Week 15 Markets

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Week 16 is up!

sold Ṁ2 YES

Will resolve at 50% if there is a tie (Vikings and Packers are now tied)

@StopPunting Only Jared Goff (494 yards) and Josh Allen (362 yards) did.

@StopPunting Jared Goff (494 yards) wears #16.

@StopPunting Caleb Williams (Bears) did not win.

@StopPunting I have 1-3 (0.25).

@StopPunting Didn't find anything, although there were a couple games with two.

@StopPunting Longest I found was Sanders' from 55 yards for the Dolphins.

sold Ṁ476 YES

@StopPunting I have 11, but this is especially prone to off-by-one errors.

bought Ṁ438 YES

@StopPunting falcons 2nd qtr vs the raiders

@StopPunting even if the Falcons lose to the Raiders (lol), it'll still be 3-2 birds and 1-3 cats.

bought Ṁ1,072 YES

@StopPunting
Concinati Joe Burrow

bought Ṁ1,158 YES

@StopPunting

davante adams

josh allen

jared goff

amon ra st brown

mike evans

lamar jackson

brian thomas jr

quentin johnston

sam laporta

jayden daniels

xavier worthy

devontez walker

all 26 covered

I was under the impression that passing touchdowns don't count here, but we still have a YES:

Xavier Worthy

Quentin Johnston

Devontez Walker

Pat Freiermuth

Bryce Young (rushing)

bought Ṁ303 YES

@StopPunting Texans vs dolphins, first drive of the 3rd quarter

@StopPunting the Niners were 3-point favorites against the Rams and, for reasons I cannot quite divine, the Panthers were 2.5-point favorites against the Cowboys.

@StopPunting the NFC North and West have division games so they can't have this or 0-4. The Commanders won and the Giants lost, so no NFC E. The NFC S can still go 0-4.

In the AFC, the Jets beat the Jags and the Texans beat the Dolphins, so neither division can do it. Cincinnati won and Cleveland lost, so neither can the AFC North. The Chiefs won, so the AFC W can still go 4-0.

Edit: the Bucs beat the Chargers, so no divisions can go 4-0 or 0-4.

@StopPunting as of the first window, the highest so far is 7 (Ravens 35-14 Giants, Chiefs 21-7 Browns).

bought Ṁ1,072 YES

@StopPunting Saints. (Then they got stopped on the two point conversion and lost)

bought Ṁ367 YES

@StopPunting Jets drive started with 1:51

bought Ṁ967 YES

@StopPunting Geno Stone for the Bengals

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