NFL Week 18 - Prop Bets
NFL Week 18 - Prop Bets
41
5.4kแน€59k
resolved Jan 11
Resolved
YES
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Resolved
YES
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
Resolved
YES
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
Resolved
YES
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
Resolved
YES
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
Resolved
YES
Fake Punt
Resolved
YES
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
Resolved
YES
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Resolved
YES
Josh Allen MVP Odds Improve By 1/8/25 (Currently: -300)
Resolved
YES
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Resolved
YES
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
Resolved
YES
A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)
Resolved
YES
Josh Allen MVP Odds Improve By 1/8/25 (Currently: -300)
Resolved
YES
Any team scores 40+ points
Resolved
YES
Pick Six
Resolved
YES
Fat Guy Touchdown*
Resolved
YES
A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)
Resolved
YES
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
Resolved
YES
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
Resolved
YES
Will a championship belt change teams (https://shorturl.at/2bXlq) (https://shorturl.at/XwDBj)

2024-25 NFL Season - Week Eighteen

*** Asterisk Prop Clarifications

  • At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

    • Favorite based on DraftKings closing line

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Based on closing DraftKings lines

  • A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

    • If consensus the next week is that the player will be out for the season

    • Will lean towards "YES" (i.e. if the vibe is the player is 75/25 I will resolve YES)

    • Based on my subjective opinion (but feel free to give input)

  • Fake Punt Attempt

    • If a team lines up in punt formation and then snaps the ball with the intention to gain the first down instead of punting

  • Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

    • The quarterback that started the game is removed due to neither an injury, nor due to a blowout

    • Subjective judgement will be used, but generally these fulfilling these three criteria will be required for 99% of cases

      • No Injury

      • If it is the 4th quarter then the game has to be within 16 points (2 possessions)

      • Its not clear that the QB removed from the game will start the next game

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Resolves NO if there are no Double Digit Underdogs

  • Fat Guy Touchdown

    • A player that would be considered fat scores a TD

    • All O-linemen, and DTs scoring would count (regardless of how)

      • Reserve the right for other positions if they are fat enough (if you want, ask me a player beforehand)

  • Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)

    • Resolves at 50% for ties, weighted (so if there are two games tied for the top already, and this week adds another, it would resolve at 33%)

  • A 4th and 11+ is converted

    • First downs as the result of penalties do not count

    • This logic applies similar to any other prop like this

      • "(no plays)" in the box score do not count as a play

  • Top 5 Super Bowl favorites

    • If there is a tie for 5th (or like 4-6th), this will resolve at 50%

  • In general, lines that use betting lines or props will rely on the DraftKings odds

Add your own props related to Week Eighteen (if it is super specific be prepared to help me find an answer). Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after Week Eighteen finishes, but not later than that.

Game Slate:

Byes: None

Add your own props related to Week Eighteen (if it is super specific be prepared to help me find an answer). Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after Week Eighteen finishes, but not later than that.

Other Week Props:

NFL Week 1 - Prop Betsโ€Œ

NFL Week 2 - Prop Betsโ€Œ

NFL Week 3 - Prop Betsโ€Œ

NFL Week 4 - Prop Betsโ€Œ

NFL Week 5 - Prop Betsโ€Œ

NFL Week 6 - Prop Betsโ€Œ

NFL Week 7 - Prop Betsโ€Œ

NFL Week 8 - Prop Betsโ€Œ

NFL Week 9 - Prop Betsโ€Œ

NFL Week 10 - Prop Betsโ€Œ

NFL Week 11 - Prop Betsโ€Œ

NFL Week 12 - Prop Betsโ€Œ

NFL Week 13 - Prop Betsโ€Œ

NFL Week 14 - Prop Betsโ€Œ

NFL Week 15 - Prop Betsโ€Œ

NFL Week 16 - Prop Betsโ€Œ

NFL Week 17 - Prop Betsโ€Œ

NFL Week 18 - Prop Betsโ€Œ

Also see:

NFL Prop Bet Dashboard

  • Update 2025-05-01 (PST): - LA Teams and NY Teams are interpreted as teams from their respective cities (Los Angeles and New York City) only, not their entire states. (AI summary of creator comment)

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answered4mo
Josh Allen MVP Odds Improve By 1/8/25 (Currently: -300)
3mo

@StopPunting

January 6th 2025

Can't find an update for jan 7th or 8th That shows any different than the -230 or -300.

Jan 9th-11th has been -450

Oddly enough, since the move to -450 on betting sites, the prediction sites have shifted to what the AP All Pro voted on.

answered1y
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
3mo
bought แน€900 For each letter of t... YES4mo

@StopPunting

jahmyr gibbs

drake london

quentin johnston

derrick henry

pat friermuth

marvin mims

Kyle Juszczyk

will dissly

Michael penix (RUSHING TD SO IT COUNTS)

bought แน€250 For each letter of t... NO4mo

@halo @creator Quentin Johnson did not score a touchdown. The letter Q is missing.

4mo

@s shoot.

answered4mo
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
4mo

@StopPunting do quarterbacks count here

not throwing, I should probably just generalize "scoring" TDs in all the answers like the NFL does, as the player that scores, since I clarify in other places if passes count

bought แน€929 4th and Goal from th... YES

Texans drive against Titans towards the end of 3rd quarter

answered4mo
Fat Guy Touchdown*
4mo

Didn't some team have a fumble recovery or fat guy interception TD? Or was it called back? Can't remember off the top of my head, but I think it happened in the 1pm window?

@StopPunting I know Ravens Michael Pierce had an INT but "slid" and did not score.

bought แน€30 Fat Guy Touchdown* YES4mo

@StopPunting

Big man TD! Derek Barnett scoops and scores for Texans

Defensive end Derek Barnett scoops up the loose ball and rumbles into the end zone for a Texans touchdown.

4mo

thanks!

answered4mo
Josh Allen MVP Odds Improve By 1/8/25 (Currently: -300)
4mo

Duplicated by accident but will resolve both

bought แน€896 A lateral more than... YES4mo

Bo Nix

answered4mo
35% or higher Kick Return rate
4mo

@StopPunting 52 returns, 174 kickoffs, 29.88%

4mo
LA teams finish with a better record than teams from New York (state)
4mo

Apologies -- could this be N/A'ed, actually? I intended it as a joke but I've now realized it could affect leagues

4mo

@Calibrate it was your cost to add it and would only affect you slightly so it's no big deal

bought แน€500 A QB has at least 3 ... YES4mo

@StopPunting https://www.espn.com/nfl/player/_/id/3044720/joshua-dobbs

Joshua Dobbs - two passing touchdowns, one rushing, two interceptions, one fumble

bought แน€734 LA teams finish with... NO4mo

@StopPunting free money on no :)

1-1 each

bought แน€984 LA teams finish with... YES4mo

If I'm losing 2,000 mana, I'm losing 2,000 mana, but I think "NY teams" includes the Bills -- otherwise it would be "NYC teams"...

4mo

The counter-argument, before anyone says it: with NY referring to the state, LA should refer to the state too! Louisiana went 0-1 (0.000) this week with a Saints loss.

@Calibrate https://manifold.markets/StopPunting/nfl-week-five-prop-bets#ewn449brm1k trying to find if this came up before, this is the first thing I saw related

NFL Week 5 - Prop Bets
Resolved MKT. 2024-25 NFL Season - Week Five *** Asterisk Prop Clarifications At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose Favorite based on DraftKings closing line Any Double Digit Underdog Wins Based on closing DraftKings lines A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury If consensus the next week is that the player will be out for the season Will lean towards "YES" (i.e. if the vibe is the player is 75/25 I will resolve YES) Based on my subjective opinion (but feel free to give input) Fake Punt Attempt If a team lines up in punt formation and then snaps the ball with the intention to gain the first down instead of punting Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game The quarterback that started the game is removed due to neither an injury, nor due to a blowout Subjective judgement will be used, but generally these fulfilling these three criteria will be required for 99% of cases No Injury If it is the 4th quarter then the game has to be within 16 points (2 possessions) Its not clear that the QB removed from the game will start the next game Any Double Digit Underdog Wins Resolves NO if there are no Double Digit Underdogs Fat Guy Touchdown A player that would be considered fat scores a TD All O-linemen, and DTs scoring would count (regardless of how) Reserve the right for other positions if they are fat enough (if you want, ask me a player beforehand) Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far) Resolves at 50% for ties, weighted (so if there are two games tied for the top already, and this week adds another, it would resolve at 33%) Game Slate: [image]Byes: Detroit Lions, Los Angeles Chargers, Philadelphia Eagles and Tennessee Titans Add your own props related to Week Five (if it is super specific be prepared to help me find an answer). Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after Week Five finishes, but not later than that. Other Week Props: @/StopPunting/nfl-week-one-prop-bets @/StopPunting/nfl-week-two-prop-bets @/StopPunting/nfl-week-three-prop-bets @/StopPunting/nfl-week-four-prop-bets @/StopPunting/nfl-week-five-prop-bets @/StopPunting/nfl-week-six-prop-bets @/StopPunting/nfl-week-seven-prop-bets @/StopPunting/nfl-week-eight-prop-bets @/StopPunting/nfl-week-nine-prop-bets @/StopPunting/nfl-week-ten-prop-bets @/StopPunting/nfl-week-eleven-prop-bets @/StopPunting/nfl-week-twelve-prop-bets @/StopPunting/nfl-week-thirteen-prop-bets @/StopPunting/nfl-week-fourteen-prop-bets @/StopPunting/nfl-week-fifteen-prop-bets @/StopPunting/nfl-week-sixteen-prop-bets @/StopPunting/nfl-week-seventeen-prop-bets @/StopPunting/nfl-week-eighteen-prop-bets
4mo

@Calibrate LA is a city, so imo NY should also be interpreted as a city -- it wouldn't be "NYC teams" because the city is named New York, not New York City

4mo

@PatrickMcCann yes, I'm surprised this hasn't come up (or as a Bills fan, I'm not commiting heresy), but this was NYC vs LA and has resolved as such all weeks before

bought แน€894 LA teams finish with... YES4mo

@StopPunting Got it! (Made my own option, though, just for the heck of it.)

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