MANIFOLD
Will over-redaction render the Epstein files useless?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ165
Dec 18
68%
chance

Market Resolution Criteria

• Yes (Useless): No new Epstein-related federal prosecutions initiated by end date Dec. 31 2026 11:59pm with public statements from DOJ attributing failure to redactions.

• No (Useful): At least one indictment or guilty plea directly enabled by file contents, confirmed via court dockets.

This is my first prediction question. I will monitor comments for links or input that points toward resolution, above and beyond my own observations.

  • Update 2026-01-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has decided to keep the market open and not resolve early. The original resolution criteria with the December 31, 2026 deadline remains in effect.

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Are there any objections to resolving this question as Yes?

@Stevelhtd2 It seems like there was a time requirement/deadline in your market description.

Yes (Useless): No new Epstein-related federal prosecutions initiated by end date Dec. 31 2026 11:59pm with public statements from DOJ

@Quroe given that question, I’m going to let the question continue.

Based on public discourse since the time I asked the question, it appears that more files will need to be released before any value can be found, but this question doesn’t specify.

I’ll keep it open.

you can't open criminal cases against dead person.. Only if suicide was staged

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