Will nearly all of the Epstein files be released before 00:00 ET on January 1, 2027? If the Epstein list does exist, "nearly all" must include the complete list. Otherwise, the resolution will be determined by reporting and what is said about what exists and what isn't released.
This market is inherently a subjective market, so I will not trade on it.
Acceptable redactions include:
Victims' names
Most photos (to avoid releasing CSAM)
Addresses, phone numbers, bank account numbers, etc.
Unacceptable redactions:
Perpetrators' names (unless a very small number)
1,000@EvanDaniel Redactions of victims' names would be acceptable, and so would redacting most photos (releasing CSAM would be bad, and I hope it doesn't happen). I would also be fine with addresses, phone numbers, bank account numbers, etc., being redacted.
Other than that, minimal redactions. Perpetrator's names being redacted would not be acceptable (unless it's a very small number).