Will the November 8, 2023 Republican presidential debate be civilized?
Basic
21
Ṁ2506
resolved Nov 10
Resolved
YES

A GOP Presidential debate is being held on November 8, 2023. Debates in previous cycles have been labeled as uncivilized or unbecoming of America. For the resolution of this market, a review will be conducted of all articles posted about the debate on November 9 on CNN.com, excluding "Live Updates during the debate" feeds.

This market resolves to NO if there are more articles that criticize multiple candidates, moderators, audience members, the debate hall, or others involved with producing the debate for uncivil behavior than there are articles praising these people for managing a substantive debate that helped audience members decide who to vote for.

Otherwise, if praise is the majority opinion, if there is equal weight on both sides, or if the debate is so conventional that nobody comments at all about its civility, this market resolves to YES.

The spirit of the question is targeted at the civility of the debate itself. Therefore, excessive personal attacks by a single candidate, which cause controversy over that candidate's actions and which don't degrade the conversation in general, are insufficient to label the debate in its entirety as "uncivilized."

The market resolves to N/A if the debate is cancelled or if CNN doesn't publish a single article about the debate on November 9.


RESOLUTION: As indicated below, CNN made few mentions of civility, unlike how all the commentators criticized everyone during the second debate. Where civility was referred to negatively in passing, there were at least as many offsetting positive mentions. Therefore, this market should resolve to YES.


PREVIOUS ITERATIONS OF THIS QUESTION:

OTHER PROP BETS ON THIS DEBATE:

BET ON THE DEBATE WINNER:

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

RESOLUTION: As indicated below, CNN made few mentions of civility, unlike how all the commentators criticized everyone during the second debate. Where civility was referred to negatively in passing, there were at least as many offsetting positive mentions. Therefore, this market should resolve to YES.

predictedNO

After having just listened to the debate I was surprised how civilized it was, especially compared to the first 2. I think this should be resolved yes.

The following article has one person discussing how the debate is calm and another who said that two people were rude. There isn't a mention of incivility, and even if there was, it seems that there are an equal number of people implying the debate was civil.

https://www.cnn.com/2023/11/09/opinions/debate-analysis-republican-candidates/index.html

And in the following article, the previous debate, which resolved NO, was compared unfavorably to the current debate.

https://www.cnn.com/2023/11/08/politics/takeaways-republican-debate/index.html

It seems to me that the articles so far point to YES, but more will probably be posted throughout the day, and the resolution text considers all articles posted throughout the day.

The debate was compared favorably overall in terms of civility relative to the previous two.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules