This market resolves YES if Joe Rogan serves as a moderator of at least one qualifying debate between candidates for president of the United States before January 1, 2041.
It resolves NO if no qualifying debate takes place by December 31, 2040.
Resolution criteria
A qualifying debate must satisfy all of the following conditions:
Presidential candidates: At least two individuals who are actively seeking the U.S. presidency participate in the same debate. Republican, Democratic, independent, and third-party candidates qualify. Both primary and general-election debates count.
Actual debate: The event must be explicitly organized and presented as a presidential candidate debate, with the participating candidates given opportunities to answer questions, respond to one another, and discuss competing positions.
Rogan moderates: Joe Rogan must serve as an officially designated moderator or co-moderator, asking questions, directing the discussion, managing exchanges, or otherwise performing substantive moderation duties.
Publicly accessible: The debate must be made available to the public through television, radio, a podcast, an online streaming platform, or another publicly accessible medium. A prerecorded debate qualifies.
Actual occurrence: The debate must take place, not merely be announced, scheduled, or agreed upon.
What counts
A nationally televised presidential debate moderated by Rogan.
A presidential primary debate moderated or co-moderated by Rogan.
A debate hosted by The Joe Rogan Experience featuring two or more qualifying presidential candidates, with Rogan acting as moderator.
A presidential debate organized by an independent media company, political organization, streaming service, or other entity, provided the criteria above are met.
What does not count
Separate podcast interviews with presidential candidates.
A conversation with only one presidential candidate.
A casual discussion between politicians that is not organized and presented as a presidential debate.
Rogan interviewing candidates at a debate without moderating the debate itself.
Rogan moderating a vice-presidential, congressional,
1,000