Republicans have a habit of wearing a "standard uniform" of a dark jacket, white shirt, and red tie. In fact, at the September 27, 2023 debate, all of the candidates adhered to this dress code, and if such a question would have been posted then, it would have resolved to YES.
This market will be determined by what every male candidate who is onstage at the time the first candidate speaks his or her first word during the November 8, 2023 Republican presidential debate is wearing.
If all the male candidates are wearing black or dark grey suit jackets with a luminance of roughly 10% or less, white dress shirts with a luminance of roughly 90% or greater, and ties where at least 50% of the fabric is dyed somewhere in the red portion of the color wheel, this market will resolve to YES. If the debate is cancelled, the market will resolve to N/A. Otherwise, it will resolve to NO.
If there is controversy over the resolution of this market, an image of the controversial candidate will be input into GPT-4 Vision along with the market text, and the model will be asked to resolve the market.
@KevinLobLaw I'm not sure which of us is more upset with you for this. The steam coming out of my ears is 110 degrees C, if you measure yours we can get an objective comparison
@bashmaester With GPT-4V. But this market isn't even close.
I'm surprised how this turned out. If I was going to bet here, I would certainly have guessed yes, because the 50% red criteria was pretty lenient.
@robm That's tough, because it would depend on how dark it is. I would probably have to put that into the model along with the resolution criteria and ask it to resolve the question.