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I fully expect this to resolve YES, as I did when I placed my bet. The reason I believed so was simple; Trump announced he wasn’t going to be there. Part of his “charm” was his ability to banter endlessly and put down others, a lot of which he did via personal attacks that would be considered in poor taste for an presidential candidate. In other words, he was funny.

Couldnt find any specific articles on CNN commenting on the civility of the debate, and even the main article leaves virtually no comment on it, and is not included in the 7 "main takeaways" .

As there is virtually no comment on the civility, the debate was pretty conventional, this should resolve YES. Especially following the spirit of the question.

https://edition.cnn.com/2023/08/23/politics/takeaways-republican-debate/index.html

Takeaways from the first Republican presidential primary debate | CNN Politics

With Donald Trump skipping the first 2024 Republican presidential primary debate, eight of his primary rivals – most of them men wearing ties similar to the bright red one regularly worn by the former president – brawled for second-place status Wednesday night.

@Dennis5a87 Correct - as it stands now, it would resolve YES. But the resolution criteria state that we will wait until tomorrow morning to see if there are any additional articles published.

I personally am surprised by this outcome. I purposely didn't bet on this market, but I would have put a lot of money on NO.

I think it's just that no one expected the debate to be civil, so it's not noteworthy that it wasn't particularly civil.

@n1psey I would have put some good money on NO here if the odds had been better, good thing I didn't

@n1psey No, I actually think that it was pretty civil, and the reason is simply that Trump wasn't there. There were a few heated arguments that were obviously acted to draw attention, but I wouldn't say they were out of line with what we saw in the 2012 Republican debates before Trump.

@n1psey And by the way, I also think that the resolution of this market will almost entirely depend on whether Trump's lead shrunk because he did his X "interview" that nobody watched and he shows up to demean everyone in the next debate: https://manifold.markets/SteveSokolowski/will-the-september-27-2023-republic

Will the September 27, 2023 Republican Presidential debate be civilized?

43% chance. A GOP Presidential debate is being held on September 27, 2023. Debates in previous cycles have been labeled as uncivilized or unbecoming of America. For the resolution of this market, a review will be conducted on the morning of September 29 of all articles posted about the debate on September 28 on CNN.com, excluding "Live Updates during the debate" feeds. This market resolves to NO if there are more articles that criticize multiple candidates, moderators, audience members, the debate hall, or others involved with producing the debate for uncivil behavior than there are articles praising these people for managing a substantive debate that helped audience members decide who to vote for. Otherwise, if praise is the majority opinion, if there is equal weight on both sides, or if the debate is so conventional that nobody comments at all about its civility, this market resolves to YES. The spirit of the question is targeted at the civility of the debate itself. Therefore, excessive personal attacks by a single candidate, which cause controversy over that candidate's actions and which don't degrade the conversation in general, are insufficient to label the debate in its entirety as "uncivilized." The market resolves to N/A if the debate is cancelled, postponed until after September 30 at 11:59:59pm EDT, or if CNN doesn't publish a single article about the topic on September 28. See also: https://manifold.markets/SteveSokolowski/will-the-august-23-2023-republican

New related market:

https://manifold.markets/SteveSokolowski/will-ron-desantis-speak-the-most-du

Will Ron DeSantis speak the most during the August 23, 2023 Republican Presidential debate?

50% chance. A Republican Presidential debate will be held on August 23, 2023. This market will track whether Ron DeSantis speaks more than any other candidate during the debate. On August 24, I will obtain a transcript of the debate from FOX News. If FOX doesn't publish a transcript, a transcript will be obtained from another mainstream media outlet instead. I will input the transcript into Claude 2, and ask the model to count the number of words that each candidate said while the debate was LIVE on air. Gestures, actions, transcript comments, and words said during commercial breaks aren't included. Because the transcript won't document speaking rate, it is possible that a different candidate could actually speak for more time but use fewer words. If DeSantis is revealed to have spoken the most words, or if the moderator ranks first but DeSantis is second, this market resolves to YES. If the debate is held but any other candidate speaks more words than DeSantis, the market resolves to NO. If the debate is cancelled, the market resolves to N/A. The market will not close until August 24 because it will take time to obtain the transcript and analyze it for this and other similar markets I have posted.

Wonderful source you have chosen

@lukres my thoughts exactly^

@Riggin "will CNNs sentiment about the republican presidential debate be "praise" or "uncivilized""?