Recently, former AARO director Sean Kirkpatrick confirmed that "bits of stories" have been corroborated regarding David Grusch's UFO claims. High-ranking officials are now beginning to seriously consider that non-human intelligence exists in mainstream media articles like this:
https://thehill.com/opinion/national-security/4301944-aliens-or-a-foreign-power-pentagon-ufo-chief-says-someone-is-in-our-backyard/
Yet, the following market, which is one of the most liquid on Manifold:
/Joshua/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-win-his-1500
continues to hold while other markets involving this topic on Manifold have crashed to an implied 67%:
/SteveSokolowski/what-is-going-on-with-david-gruschs-de3add9e7579
This market will resolve to YES if the price of the mentioned market is 89% or below on December 1, 2023 at noon EST, or if the mentioned market resolves to NO before then. Note that the time is set to noon so that I can monitor it should this be close. If the mentioned market resolves to N/A before then, this market will also resolve to N/A. Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ55 | |
| 2 | Ṁ53 | |
| 3 | Ṁ39 | |
| 4 | Ṁ27 | |
| 5 | Ṁ14 |