Will GPT-5 launch on a Tuesday?
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AI companies including OpenAI seem to launch models on Tuesdays. Will this trend continue? Clearly one of the most important questions in AI forecasting today!
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@StephenMalina Ah, more straightforward than I was expecting.
I wonder if that's hard and fast such that an unexpected 1 day delay would cause them to delay a full week 🤔
Maybe it should be higher than ~50%, maybe even ~90% if they've never broken this trend before on even small models/model updates.
@NevinWetherill yeah to clarify, I haven't confirmed the strength of the trend beyond the tweet, which I now can't find
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