GPT-5 releases when?
Plus
21
Ṁ22902025
2,025.15
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market tests whether month-long buckets work decently for numeric markets. may N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
If I compute the culmulative function with these questions:
and then take the derivative (or like piecewise approximation of the derivative using buckets), how well does it match the curve in your question? 🤔
Related questions
Related questions
Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?
5% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before May 2025?
44% chance
When will GPT-5 be released? (2025)
65% chance
GPT-5 exists
62% chance
When GPT-5 will released?
Will GPT-5 be released before Apr 2025?
38% chance
GPT-5 by 2025?
6% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Jun 2025?
53% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Jul 2025?
57% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Aug 2025?
63% chance