I really like his recent research on unsupervised vision learning.
I will resolve this market based on my opinion in 2030 on if he makes another huge breakthrough
Below are some events that will absolutely resolve this market to YES
Any of his paper published after 2020 gets > 15k citation (No survey/book)
Note: if a big tech releases a SOTA model with his name on it, that paper does not count. (e.g. he puts his name on llama 3 and that paper got 15k citation)
Found a >$200B AI company with him being chief tech lead or CEO
Win Turing Award again
Create a whole new architecture with enough novelty (after 2020), and somebody spend >$100M compute to train it follow his recipe.
Other than those, I will make the final decision
Related:
Will Saining Xie be the next Super Star? (Citation >500k by 2034)