Will Yann LeCun retain his role as chief AI scientist at Meta until January 1, 2026? Or will he be forced out of the role? Also resolves negatively if he resigns/retires or if his position is very clearly superseded (or demoted in significance), such as if a new Meta AI lead is announced while Yann just remains a figurehead.
His departure must occur before Jan 1, 2026.
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https://www.ft.com/content/c586eb77-a16e-4363-ab0b-e877898b70de
"LeCun has told associates he will leave the Silicon Valley group in the coming months, according to people familiar with the conversations."
> coming months
sounds likely to be after EOY 2025
@Dulaman don't trust them not to silently copy prediction markets if prediction markets exist and are available in its search btw
LeCun now reports to Alexandr Wang as Meta reshuffles its top AI leadership https://share.google/4a70pcAGyknkXgA0b
Really wishing I had considered more contingencies in drafting the resolution criteria (and in naming the market). I haven’t dug very closely into the details of the new “chief scientist of superintelligence” role, but there’s a (hypothetical) version of this which I would have very likely said fits the conceptual/intended meaning of “No.” However, I’m not confident whether it should qualify as “No” under the operationalized/written criteria… will have to think more.
@hmdurlz this is going to be contentious per the market criteria if he's still at Meta by the end of the year given everything that's happened.
@MalachiteEagle This is exactly the kind of LeCun content I had in mind when I created this market, just saying.