Who will be the next Turing Award Winner for research in AI/ML?
Plus
13
Ṁ3492028
53%
16%
Ilya Sutskever
10%
Demis Hassabis
7%
Jürgen Schmidhuber
7%
Kaiming He
4%
Ian Goodfellow
4%
Jeff Dean
Note: It does not need to be the next Turing Award.
If no Turing Awards were given to ML people before the resolution time, I will extend it indefinitely.
If Turing Awards no longer exist, I am not sure how it should resolve. Any opinion?
Resolution: The market will resolve based on the official Turing Award announcement. If the award is shared among multiple winners, the resolution will be proportionally divided. For instance, if three individuals jointly win the award (like 2022 with Yoshua Bengio, Geoffrey Hinton, and Yann Lecun), each will be attributed 33.33% in the market resolution.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
All of yall are betting on other. Who do you guys have in mind?
Please nominate the person, or comment and I can add the choice for yall
Related questions
Related questions
Where will the next major breakthrough in AI originate from before 2025?
Will any ai/ml researcher win a nobel prize in 2025?
37% chance
Which 3 AI labs/companies will make the most impact in 2024 (technical contributions to the field of AI)?
Will Science's Top Breakthrough of the Year in 2024 be AI-related?
44% chance
Will an AI get a Nobel Prize before 2050?
31% chance
Will open-source AI win (through 2025)?
33% chance
Will the 2024 TIME person of the year be related to AI in some way?
23% chance
Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040?
79% chance
TIME 100 most influential people in AI 2025
Will AI pass Video Turing Test by 2030?
69% chance