Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040?
27
97
570
2040
78%
chance

Resolves yes if, in my judgement, that’s the reason for the award, even if those exact terms don’t appear in the official announcement.

If I’m not around, someone else can resolve it in that spirit.

Past winners and rationales: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turing_Award

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