MANIFOLD
Who will be the next Turing Award Winner for research in AI/ML?
17
Ṁ1kṀ3.5k
resolved Mar 16
100%94%Other
3%
Ilya Sutskever
0.1%
Ian Goodfellow
0.1%
Jeff Dean
3%
Demis Hassabis
0.2%
Jürgen Schmidhuber
0.2%
Kaiming He

Note: It does not need to be the next Turing Award.

If no Turing Awards were given to ML people before the resolution time, I will extend it indefinitely.

If Turing Awards no longer exist, I am not sure how it should resolve. Any opinion?

Resolution: The market will resolve based on the official Turing Award announcement. If the award is shared among multiple winners, the resolution will be proportionally divided. For instance, if three individuals jointly win the award (like 2022 with Yoshua Bengio, Geoffrey Hinton, and Yann Lecun), each will be attributed 33.33% in the market resolution.

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Resolving to Richard Sutton and Andrew Barto

The 2024 Turing Award was given to Avi Wigderson.

Let's come back in a year to see.

All of yall are betting on other. Who do you guys have in mind?

Please nominate the person, or comment and I can add the choice for yall

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