Who will be the next Turing Award Winner for research in AI/ML?
14
1kṀ4162028
51%
17%
Ilya Sutskever
13%
Demis Hassabis
6%
Jürgen Schmidhuber
6%
Kaiming He
3%
Ian Goodfellow
3%
Jeff Dean
Note: It does not need to be the next Turing Award.
If no Turing Awards were given to ML people before the resolution time, I will extend it indefinitely.
If Turing Awards no longer exist, I am not sure how it should resolve. Any opinion?
Resolution: The market will resolve based on the official Turing Award announcement. If the award is shared among multiple winners, the resolution will be proportionally divided. For instance, if three individuals jointly win the award (like 2022 with Yoshua Bengio, Geoffrey Hinton, and Yann Lecun), each will be attributed 33.33% in the market resolution.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
All of yall are betting on other. Who do you guys have in mind?
Please nominate the person, or comment and I can add the choice for yall
Related questions
Related questions
Will any ai/ml researcher win a nobel prize in 2025?
20% chance
Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040?
79% chance
Will a paper or report, with >=1 turing award winner as an author, suggest that an AI system is conscious, by 2025 end?
13% chance
TIME 100 most influential people in AI 2025
Will an AI receive an IgNobel Prize in 2025?
29% chance
Will the 2025 TIME person of the year be related to AI in some way?
38% chance
Will someone from SERI MATS win a turing award by 2040
42% chance
Will DeepMind researchers win a Fields Medal before 2030?
18% chance
Will Neel Nanda receive a Turing Prize by EOY 2050?
15% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win a Turing Award before 2038?
6% chance