Major AI research organization announces autonomous AI researcher?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ173resolved Jan 8
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Less snappy but clearer version of question: "Will a major AI research organization announce the development of an AI system capable of autonomously conducting AI research by December 31, 2025?"
Resolution Criteria:
A "major AI research organization" refers to well-known entities such as OpenAI, DeepMind, or similar institutions.
An announcement must be made through official channels (e.g., press releases, peer-reviewed publications) stating that the AI system can autonomously perform tasks related to AI research without human intervention.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ15 | |
| 2 | Ṁ14 | |
| 3 | Ṁ9 | |
| 4 | Ṁ8 | |
| 5 | Ṁ8 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Greatest AI Researcher of All Time
Could AI research see a shift in focus soon?
81% chance
Leaks or press releases that AIs are doing end to end AI research by 2026
58% chance
What AI research assistant(s) should I use?
Largest reported pay-package offered to an AI researcher before 2027?
OpenAI has AI CEO by EOY 2026?
3% chance
OpenAI Announces that its CEO/Leader will have AI components (Software + human or alone) by mid 2026
17% chance
When will OpenAI Announce AI Robots?
Out of these AI researchers, who is the smartest?
Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?
24% chance