Will global peak oil production occur before 2029?
Will global peak oil production occur before 2029?
27
1kṀ1913
2030
64%
chance

Resolves YES if total world oil production is lower in 2029 and 2030 from a peak in or before the year 2028, AND there is a majority consensus among world energy economics experts that peak oil was likely reached in or before 2028.

Resolves NO if world total oil production is clearly above 2028 levels in 2029 or 2030.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peak_oil

"Peak oil is the point in time when the maximum rate of global oil production is reached, after which production will begin an irreversible decline. It is related to the distinct concept of oil depletion; while global petroleum reserves are finite, the limiting factor is not whether the oil exists but whether it can be extracted economically at a given price."

from: https://yearbook.enerdata.net/crude-oil/world-production-statistics.html

Economics
Oil
Climate
Climate change
Energy
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