The international energy agency and others predicts that global carbon emissions will peak in 2025 and then start to decline. Do you think they're right? Will the world energy transition gain enough traction for this to become a reality? This bet will resolve based on the international energy agency's analysis of global emissions for 2025, which should be released in the first half of 2026.
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https://climateanalytics.org/publications/when-will-global-greenhouse-gas-emissions-peak
"In this report, we find there is a 70% chance that emissions start falling in 2024 if current clean technology growth trends continue and some progress is made to cut non-CO2 emissions. This would make 2023 the year of peak emissions – meeting the IPCC deadline."
@adssx Here’s hoping! But time will tell. If the IEA reports that carbon emissions from all anthropogenic sources peak before 2025 then I will resolve to yes.
All sources or anthropogenic sources or just energy sector?
"Global carbon emissions from energy will peak in 2025"
suggests IEA is only talking about energy sector.
So it would appear things like concrete production, deforestation, vegetation decay, animal breathing etc are not involved. Please confirm.