
Which GOP candidate will come in second in the Iowa Caucuses (Jan 15th)? (M500 subsidy)
49
1.7kṀ4241resolved Jan 16
100%63%
Ron DeSantis
2%
Donald Trump
34%
Nikki Haley
0.3%
Vivek Ramaswamy
0.5%
Chris Christie
Which republican candidate will get the second-most votes during the 2024 Iowa Caucus?
Trading will close one week before the caucus. The market will resolve to a single candidate after at least 98% of the votes have been reported. I will wait to resolve the market until 100% of votes have been reported if two candidates’ tallies are close enough to be statistically plausible for 2nd place.
I will not vote.
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