Will I rank within the top 100 creators at the end of Q1 2024?

Manifold•Manifold Users•Personal Goals•Manifold Leagues

460

Ṁ16K

Ṁ670

resolved Apr 1

Resolved

YES

ALL

#620

Sep 27

#217

Nov 18

#155

Nov 22

#119

Dec 9

#111

Dec 10

#110

Dec 11

#107

Dec 11

#104

Dec 12

#99

Dec 16

#93

Dec 24

#92

Dec 25

#91

Dec 26

#88

Dec 30

#73

Jan 18

#72

Jan 20

#70

Jan 23

#67

Jan 26

Background

I created my account a couple of days ago and now I am ranked #620 with 15 questions posted. I want to rank within the top 100 creators at the end of Q3 2024.

Resolution Criteria

On exactly 01.04.2024 00:00:00 CET I will navigate to the questions tab on my profile and take a screenshot of my Creator Rank. If I am ranked in the top 100 creators then I will resolve this market to YES otherwise No.

Edit History
- Changed title from by to at in order to reflect the resolution criteria

Related Markets

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ271
2		Ṁ119
3		Ṁ107
4		Ṁ99
5		Ṁ77

23 Comments

34 Holders

126 Trades

Sort by:

bought Ṁ5,000 YES

Easily good to go, congrats!

predicted YES

88, you’re just behind me (87)! Well done. I’ve been here since October 2022 (!) and still a middling creator.

predicted YES

@NicoDelon thank youuuu ☺️

predicted YES

At this point the only way to get this question to resolve no is if I get banned which is not crazy given how much controvery I am creating here lately

predicted YES

I created this market it to make a bit more interesting since this one is now at > 90%

Would anyone mind if I make an exception and partiicpate in this market? The resolution criteria is very objective so I din’t see a reason not to.

predicted NO

@Soli I don't see why not! I think it's fine for creators to participate in their own markets when resolution criteria is 100% transparent

bought Ṁ200 YES

predicted YES

@Soli No objections!

bought Ṁ100 YES from 72% to 78%

I got lucky over the past couple of days and now rank @ #119 - I should have used a leaner resolution criteria since maintaining position in top 100 will require some consistent effort till April of 2024

bought Ṁ100 YES from 79% to 83%

boughtṀ90YES

@firstuserhere ☺️

bought Ṁ20 YES from 79% to 80%

soldṀ30NO

@HenriThunberg wise move 😋

bought Ṁ7 YES at 80%

Collecting some strategies here

soldṀ367YES

@firstuserhere 😢

@Soli I was just freeing up some mana

I am now at Rank 217 and still have > 4 months but I am not super optimistic. I think reaching top 100 will hinge on having atleast one question that goes somewhat viral (>1k traders)

predicted YES

@Soli I believe.

bought Ṁ100 of YES

@Soli your questions are interesting, not the run of the mill trader seeking questions. They're informative, and its only a matter of time in my opinion that some goes viral

@firstuserhere 🤍🤍

predicted YES

@Soli Told you, way closer just 3 days later

predicted NO

@Soli You need more and more traders to move up the ranks even by a little bit, so it's going to be difficult. You have 300 more traders than me but you're only 30 higher in the ranking