Where will I rank on the creators leaderboard at the end of 2023?
6
159
195
resolved Jan 1
107
Dec 11
104
Dec 12
#93
Dec 24
#92
Dec 25
#91
Dec 25
#90
Dec 27
#88
Dec 29
100%97%
< 90
0.5%
> 120
2%
120 - 90

When I joined Manifold on the 27th of September I immediately fell in love with the concept and set a goal to rank within the top 100 creators on this platform before April of 2024. I liked being able to interact with people who don't live close to me and also learning how to be more precise and concise in formulating resolution criteria. Creating questions feels a bit like coding. You never really know what is hiding in the details.

Anyways, I am now at rank #107 and I wonder how far I can get before the year ends. I won't be spamming questions to achieve my goal. I try to ask questions I genuinely find interesting.

Resolution Criteria: When I wake up on 01.01.2024 I will navigate to the questions tab on my profile and take a screenshot of my Creator Rank and resolve accordingly.

As an exception I will participate in this market because the resolution criteria is very objective.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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The most likely outcome is 120-90 in my opinion so the odds here are not right

@Soli Then why do you keep betting the <90 option?

because if I don't bet on myself, who else would @NicoDelon?

@Soli But you are… betting on yourself. I’m confused.

@NicoDelon I fixed the typo haha - I meant that it is ok if I have a delusional belief in my self because if I don't - who else would?

It is not super smart for someone else to have somewhat delusional belief in my abilities.

@NicoDelon in other words: my bet is more about self-belief than the actual odds. It's a personal challenge. Betting on myself, even if it seems optimistic, keeps me motivated. Others should be more cautious in their bets, but for me, it's about setting a high bar and striving to reach it.

@Soli Got it!

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