This market resolves to the single political party that wins the highest number of seats in the House of Representatives in the 8 February 2026 Thailand general election.

Resolution rules

• Exactly ONE option resolves YES.

• All other options resolve NO.

• “Win” means the highest total number of MPs (constituency + party-list combined).

• Source of truth:

  • Election Commission of Thailand (ECT) certified results

  • Reuters / CBS news / BBC / CNN / Wikipedia / other credible resources summaries of final seat counts - without contradiction

If the election is annulled nationwide or fully rerun, resolve N/A

If two parties tie exactly for the highest number of seats (extremely unlikely), resolve 50/50

Options (single-choice parties, anyone can add more)

1. People’s Party (พรรคประชาชน)

• In the latest Suan Dusit Poll, the People’s Party leads both party-list and constituency preference with roughly 24–25% support, ahead of other major parties. https://www.nationthailand.com/news/politics/40060111

• They are widely seen as a major contender for the largest seat count, especially in urban constituencies.

2. Pheu Thai Party (พรรคเพื่อไทย)

• Pheu Thai consistently polls as the second-strongest party in both party-list and constituency support. nationthailand

• Recent reporting suggests the party has gained momentum and is closing the gap with the People’s Party. Thai Examiner

3. Bhumjaithai Party (พรรคภูมิใจไทย)

• Polling places Bhumjaithai among the top three parties, with a significant share of constituency support. nationthailand

• Analysts and political commentary also highlight Bhumjaithai’s incumbency and organizational strength as a factor that can translate into many seats. FULCRUM

This market is based on final certified seat totals, not preliminary results or vote percentages, which may be confidently disputed

The Thai general election is scheduled for 8 February 2026.
The election was called early after the dissolution of parliament in December 2025, following political instability and the breakdown of the governing coalition.
Under Thailand’s constitution, once parliament is dissolved, a new general election must be held within a legally defined timeframe, leading to the February 2026 vote.

This market may resolve early if there is no credible dispute and the final seat distribution is clearly established by reliable reporting; however, the preferred resolution timing is after official certification by the Election Commission of Thailand.

Anyone may add additional parties as options, but added parties must not duplicate or contradict the initial list of the three parties.
If an added option is a duplicate, overlaps with, or directly competes with the initial three parties, it will not be eligible to resolve as the winner.