Elon Musk has expressed intention to create a new political party
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1930685402631053403?s=46&t=mr67c6cgUP2ic11sukpB0g
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk officially establishes a new political party in the United States by December 31, 2025. For the purpose of this market, a political party is defined an organization that coordinates candidates to compete in American elections and doesn’t require governmental recognition.
Update 2025-06-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The criterion 'Elon Musk officially establishes a new political party' will be met if Elon Musk is an official founding member of such a party, even if he is not the sole or primary person responsible for its establishment.
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@OliverMattos The party doesn't need to have a decent chance of winning anything for Elon to create it. It's very easy to create parties, and to run people in elections, especially local elections.
@pietrokc Yeah, plus, as a third party, you don't necessarily have to get anyone elected to attempt to push the party towards your goals. You just have to be enough of a threat that they have to try and court your supporters.