At least one political party would have to be desperate to make a bid for this amendment. If Trump found a semi-plausible loophole allowing a third term I could see it happening, but that's a big if.

@CraigDemel I just imagine there would likely be a lot of money behind a Musk/Schwarzenegger amendment; I’m sure there’s a handful of naturalised, yet not natural born billionaires who want to be, or could imagine themselves some day becoming, president

It’s unlikely, I’m running this market to see how unlikely people seem to think it might be